{"id":1088,"date":"2024-03-12T08:00:20","date_gmt":"2024-03-12T12:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gstsstg.wpenginepowered.com\/?p=1088"},"modified":"2026-01-27T04:55:03","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T09:55:03","slug":"ice-jam-predictions-with-ociana","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gsts.ca\/fr\/ice-jam-predictions-with-ociana\/","title":{"rendered":"Ice Jam Predictions with OCIANA\u2122"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"1088\" class=\"elementor elementor-1088\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-3e6d378e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"3e6d378e\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-68796097\" data-id=\"68796097\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e4ba43d elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"e4ba43d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tThe St. Lawrence River originates as the outflow of the Great Lakes, transforming into a vast estuary near Ile d\u2019Orl\u00e9ans and ultimately expanding into the Gulf of St. Lawrence at Point-des-Monts. This waterway encompasses nearly 1,200 kilometers of navigable waters, serving as a crucial conduit that connects the Great Lakes and the heart of North America to the Atlantic Ocean. It plays a pivotal role as an essential artery for Canada\u2019s economy and supply chain.\n\n<span style=\"color: #2766a5;\">One notable challenge faced by the region is the occurrence of ice jams, particularly in the Lake St. Pierre section downstream from Montr\u00e9al.<\/span> These ice jams have the potential to obstruct commercial navigation, leading to floods that can result in significant damage. Lake St. Pierre denotes the widening of the St. Lawrence River between Sorel and Trois-Rivi\u00e8res, constituting the upstream segment of the river\u2019s estuary. The water depth in this area is generally shallow, except within the navigation channel, where it is maintained at a minimum of 11.3 meters below chart datum. <span style=\"color: #2766a5;\">Due to lower water velocity and the presence of curves in the channel, this section is more susceptible to ice congestion compared to other parts of the river.<\/span>\n\nSince 1993, there have been at least six recorded instances of ice jams in this area (refer to Table 1). The initial ice jam event in 2019 resulted in the suspension of domestic and international ship operations for over a week. Additionally, it led to a 25-centimeter rise in water levels near Contrecoeur and caused &#8220;vessel clogging&#8221; following the release of the ice jam.\n\n<figure id=\"attachment_1094\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1094\" style=\"width: 904px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-08-at-11.43.58-AM.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"904\" height=\"992\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-08-at-11.43.58-AM.jpg 904w, https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-08-at-11.43.58-AM-273x300.jpg 273w, https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-08-at-11.43.58-AM-768x843.jpg 768w, https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-08-at-11.43.58-AM-11x12.jpg 11w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 904px) 100vw, 904px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1094\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Table 1. Ice jam events near Lake St. Pierre from 1993 to 2019<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<figure id=\"attachment_1090\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1090\" style=\"width: 700px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-07-at-4.16.10-PM-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"526\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 700px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 700\/526;\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-07-at-4.16.10-PM-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-07-at-4.16.10-PM-768x577.jpg 768w, https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-07-at-4.16.10-PM-16x12.jpg 16w, https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-07-at-4.16.10-PM.jpg 972w\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-original-sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1090\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 1. The St. Lawrence River near Trois-Rivieres on Saturday, Jan. 26, 2019. Photo by Alexandra Cournoyer\/Environment Canada<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<span style=\"color: #2766a5;\">GSTS has undertaken the development of a comprehensive ice management capability that has successfully amalgamated and analyzed ice and environmental conditions in its AI powered proprietary platform, <span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">OCIANA<\/span><sup>TM<\/sup>.<\/span> These factors play pivotal roles in the occurrence of ice congestion. <span style=\"color: #000000;\">The innovative capability comprises an artificial intelligence (AI) powered ice concentration prediction model and an analytical ice jam warning model.<\/span> <span style=\"color: #4bbea6;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">OCIANA<\/span><sup>TM<\/sup> offers early warnings up to seven days in advance, effectively mitigating the potential impacts of ice jam events.\u00a0<\/span>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Figure 2 illustrates the forecasts of ice concentration in Lake St. Pierre spanning from December 19, 2023 to February 22, 2024, generated by the AI prediction model. No ice jam risk warnings were issued by the analytical model throughout this specified time period, aligning with the fact that no actual ice jam occurred. This outcome underscores the effectiveness and reliability of the developed models.\u00a0<span style=\"color: #4bbea6;\">The successful implementation of this advanced capability marks a significant stride in enhancing the proactive management and reduction of risks associated with ice congestion in crucial sections of the St. Lawrence River.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n<figure id=\"attachment_1096\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1096\" style=\"width: 866px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-12-at-10.34.24-AM.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"866\" height=\"264\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 866px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 866\/264;\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-12-at-10.34.24-AM.jpg 866w, https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-12-at-10.34.24-AM-300x91.jpg 300w, https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-12-at-10.34.24-AM-768x234.jpg 768w, https:\/\/gsts.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2024-03-12-at-10.34.24-AM-18x5.jpg 18w\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-original-sizes=\"(max-width: 866px) 100vw, 866px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1096\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 2. Ice concentration prediction of Lake St. Pierre from the AI model from December 19, 2023 to February 22, 2024<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<span style=\"color: #2766a5;\">The inception and implementation of the ice jam prediction capability yields numerous advantages for all stakeholders relying on the St. Lawrence River for navigation.<\/span> <span style=\"color: #4bbea6;\">These encompass enhancements to planning capabilities concerning ice congestion, enhanced communication to terminal operators regarding potential delays, refined route planning for incoming vessels, improved resource planning for tugs engaged in ice breaking assistance, heightened effectiveness of ice breakers, and an overall improvement in operational efficiency that diminishes the risk of shipping delays and accidents.<\/span>\n\nImportantly, the methodology and models integral to the ice jam prediction capability are versatile and can be tailored for application in other regions susceptible to ice congestion risk. This adaptability opens the door for the potential expansion of this innovative capability to address challenges in areas such as the Great Lakes and the Arctic, further contributing to safer and more efficient navigation in regions prone to ice-related disruptions.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-f6c80ca elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"f6c80ca\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-a6fb3b5\" data-id=\"a6fb3b5\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ef77e16 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ef77e16\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 0.15px;\">Contact GSTS for more information: sales@gsts.ca<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The St. Lawrence River originates as the outflow of the Great Lakes, transforming into a vast estuary near Ile d\u2019Orl\u00e9ans and ultimately expanding into the Gulf of St. Lawrence at Point-des-Monts. This waterway encompasses nearly 1,200 kilometers of navigable waters, serving as a crucial conduit that connects the Great Lakes and the heart of North [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":2372,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1088","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2024-blogs","category-blog"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ice Jam Predictions with OCIANA\u2122 - GSTS<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ice Jam Predictions with OCIANA\u2122 - GSTS\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/gsts.ca\/fr\/ice-jam-predictions-with-ociana\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_CA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ice Jam Predictions with OCIANA\u2122 - 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